Volatility: VIX, bond, dollar and crypto volatility and hedging costs

How nervous markets are and how expensive it is to hedge against a fall: VIX and its term structure, realized Treasury and dollar volatility, bitcoin implied volatility (DVOL) and CFTC speculator positioning. Bonds often turn nervous before stocks.

Current readings · Oct 15, 2026

• 10Y volatility (realized): 86 bp
• VIX: 15.3
• VIX3M / VIX: 1.18x
• Dollar volatility (realized): 4.1%
• DVOL BTC: 39.1

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